UFC 274 Betting Odds: Gaethje-Oliveira Headlines Phoenix Card

With UFC 274 being just days away, the sports betting market is ready for the promotion’s big PPV draw. Here are odds for UFC 274, headlined by Justin Gaethje vs. Charles Oliveira in the main event. 

UFC fanatics will get to witness an action-packed UFC card on May 7, featuring two title fights and a bout starring a former UFC interim lightweight champion and a three-time Bellator champion.

Oliveira squares off with contender Justin Gaethje in a Lightweight title fight. Arizona sports betting apps have the favored Oliveira priced anywhere from -170 to -195. Underdog prices on Gaethje range from +145 to +165

UFC 274 is set for The Footprint Center in Phoenix, with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. MT and the main card starting at 8 p.m. MT.  You can watch UFC 274 on ESPN+ PPV.

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UFC 274 Betting Odds

SportsbookCharles Oliveira oddsJustin Gaethje odds

The Road To Phoenix

Looking to defend his title a second time in a row, Oliveira is riding a 10-fight win streak (only one by decision), including wins over Kevin Lee, Tony Ferguson, Michael Chandler, and Dustin Poirier. In 2021, he TKO’d Chandler early in the second round in UFC 262 to claim the lightweight title, then defended his title against Poirier with a third-round submission in UFC 269. It took Oliveira a record 28 UFC fights before becoming champion. 

Gaethje is coming into this match with redemption all over his mind. After winning back-to-back bouts against UFC’s all-time leader in wins Donald Cerrone and former interim UFC lightweight champion Tony Ferguson, Gaethje was one win away from becoming champion for the first time in his UFC career. He ultimately lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov from a triangle choke early in the second round during UFC 254. He now has a second shot at the belt, this time against Oliveira.

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In-The-Octogan Analysis

This fight will contain too much aggressiveness and explosiveness for it to go the distance. Expect the props to be priced accordingly.

Gaethje’s sole submission loss came against one of the greatest wrestlers of all time in Nurmagomedov. It will be interesting to see if Gaethje has similar trouble against arguably the greatest submission and Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist of all time in Oliveira, who holds the record for the most submission wins in UFC history with 15.

Gaethje is the hardest-hitting fighter in the division, which may concern Oliveira, as he has shown to have a weak chin early in fights. However, Oliveira is good at prevailing.

Co-Main Event: Rose Namajunas Vs. Carla Esparza

Over seven years ago, Rose Namajunas and Carla Esparza fought in the Ultimate Fighter 20 finale, with Esparza coming out on top using a rear-naked choke in the third round. Seven years later, the two fighters have had different stories to tell.

“Thug Rose” is a two-time, and current, UFC strawweight champion. “Cookie Monster” Esparza was the inaugural UFC strawweight champion back in 2014 and brings along a five-fight win streak with her to Thug Rose.

Thug Rose is priced between -210 and -225 as the favorite, with Esparza offered between +175 and +185 as the dog.

Michael Chandler Sizeable Favorite Over Tony Ferguson

Both Chandler and Ferguson are looking to put an end to their respective losing streaks (Chandler two, Ferguson three). A win by either fighter here would help build momentum towards another shot at the lightweight title.

Chandler is laying a big price – anywhere from -380 to -400. That means you can get a good underdog line on Ferguson. He is +290 on the low end and +310 at the top.

AP Photo/Chase Stevens

About the Author

Mariah Janos

Mariah is a Boston sports fanatic currently living in South Florida. She has worked in many parts of the country as a sports reporter, including hosting sports betting shows, creating how-to videos for beginning bettors, and working the sidelines of various events.